
Heading into last season, Mike Shanahan was 10-1 in season- openers, so Broncos fans were shocked when the team started 2005 with a loss to a non-playoff team with a rookie head coach. That disappointment soon gave way to optimism when the Broncos won their next five games, went 13-3 and broke another Shanahan pattern, that of turning a strong start into a mediocre finish.
But this year's opening loss to a rookie head coach seems more portentous than last as the inevitable QB controversy between Jake Plummer and Jay Cutler was moved from where Broncos brass scheduled it, 2008, to last night.
It might have seemed that the controversy was inevitable given the reputation of Jake the Snake and the way the Broncos traded up to draft a prodigious QB out of college. But the standard development track for a quarterback is a year of clip board, and a year of backup time before moving into the limelight. In the NFL, Even physical specimens like Carson Palmer require a year of learning complex defensive and offensive schemes before becoming field generals.
That all seemed fine in Denver considering that in 2005 Plummer's troublesome INT total dropped to a career-low 7 from his 20 in 2004. And Jake lead the Broncos to their first AFC title game since you-know-who was under center.
Unfortunately for the Broncos, Cutler's stellar pre-season was immediately followed by Jake Plummer throwing three interceptions, and losing a fumble, projected through 16 games, the total of 72 giveaways would be a career high for any quarterback, even Plummer.
To his credit, the fumble was mostly the fault of Rookie Mike Bell's weak pass blocking, and it could be said that one of the Interceptions was the fault of the receiver. But those excuses aren't going to quiet the voices of the fans in Denver.
Right now, Jay Cutler doesn't know the offense well enough to step in and lead the Broncos. He said as much yesterday. But if Jake Plummer doesn't prove that he can return to 2005 form in a big hurry, the Broncos may well conclude that they have nothing to lose by going with the rookie.
If they haven't already. Last year Plummer recovered from a slow start, and performed exactly as his coaches hoped he would. The result left the Broncos short of the Super Bowl. If Broncos management thought that the best case scenario with the Plummer was good enough, they wouldn't have gone to such great lengths to acquire Cutler.
Cutler may well be the best leader for the franchise over the long term, but if he takes over this year, Broncos fans would need to demonstrate patience with the young player as he goes through his learning curve. And they certainly never did that when the team was nurturing a young John Elway.
Bronco fans should learn from the fans in Cincinnati who's wait for Palmer was rewarded with a Pro Bowl third season. The fact of the matter is, the success of the 2006 season almost certainly still depends on whether we see Jake the Great, or Jake the Snake. Regardless of who's holding his clipboard.
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However, in spite of the controversy, I see some defenite bright spots for the Broncos. They had two running backs average better than six yards per carry, and their defense didn't allow a touchdown, even when Plummer's fumble handed the ball to the Rams' offense inside the five yard line. It looks like the Broncos defense could be even better than last year.